没有证据表明对科学信任对健康相关行为意图的因果关系
Tobias Wingen1, Ann-Christin Posten2, Simone Dohle3
1FernUniversität in Hagen, Hagen, Germany.
Communications psychology
|December 11, 2025
概括
对科学的信任不会因果关系地影响像接种疫苗这样的健康行为. 实验研究没有发现证据表明,对科学的信任增加会改变保护意图,质疑其在公共卫生政策中的作用.
科学领域:
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 行为科学 行为科学
背景情况:
- 政策制定者和研究人员经常认为对科学的信任驱动健康行为.
- 随着COVID-19的流行,人们对科学的信任与保护措施 (如社交距离和疫苗接种) 之间存在关联.
研究的目的:
- 调查对科学的信任与与健康相关的保护意图之间的因果关系.
- 为了确定实验性操纵对科学的信任是否影响行为意图.
主要方法:
- 在多项研究中重复了对科学信任和保护意图之间的相关发现 (N=5311).
- 进行了对自我报告的对科学信心的实验操纵.
- 利用同等性测试,内部元分析 (N=3761) 和机器学习来评估影响.
主要成果:
- 对科学和保护意图的信任之间的相关性得到了一致的复制.
- 对科学信任的实验操纵没有对保护意图产生因果关系.
- 相当性测试,元分析和机器学习证实,没有任何有意义的因果关系.
结论:
- 对科学信任的短期变化可能不是健康相关保护意图的主要驱动因素.
- 重新思考对科学信任的因果关系对于有效的公共卫生战略至关重要.
- 从COVID-19大流行中吸取的教训需要重新评估针对科学信任的干预措施,以制定未来的政策.
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