较低eGFR患病率和使用2009年和2021年CKD-EPI方程预测墨西哥成年人的死亡率的比较
Daniel Ramírez-García1,2, Carlos A Fermín-Martínez1,3, Paulina Sánchez Castro1,2
1Research Division, Instituto Nacional de Geriatría, Mexico City, Mexico.
Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN
|December 12, 2025
概括
2021年CKD-EPI方程式估计墨西哥慢性病患病率较低,与2009年版本相比. 这种更新的方程提供了与预后相关的重新分类,而不会影响病监测的实用性.
科学领域:
- 腎臟病學 (nephrology) 是一種醫學專業.
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 精确估计膜过率 (eGFR) 对于慢性病 (CKD) 管理至关重要.
- 2021年CKD-EPI方程式更新了2009年版本,删除了种族系数,需要在不同人群中进行评估.
- 关于CKD-EPI 2021方程对eGFR估计的影响及其对墨西哥人口的预后影响尚不清楚.
研究的目的:
- 为了比较墨西哥2009年和2021年的CKD-EPI方程之间的eGFR类别流行率和预测性能.
- 在墨西哥人中使用CKD-EPI 2021方程评估eGFR类别重新分类的预后相关性.
- 评估对识别低eGFR的个体的影响.
主要方法:
- 来自墨西哥国家健康和营养调查 (ENSANUT) 的25,110名成年人对eGFR患病率的分析.
- 来自墨西哥城前性研究 (MCPS) 的142,884名成年人对死亡风险的评估.
- 利用考克斯的比例危险和Fine和Gray回归模型来分析死亡风险和重新分类影响.
主要成果:
- 在CKD-EPI 2021方程式中,与ENSANUT.的2009方程式 (4%) 相比,EGFR<60mL/min/1.73m2 (3%) 的流行率较低.
- 使用2021年方程的7%的成年人出现了向上的eGFR重新分类,特别是在老年人和患有高血压或糖尿病的人群中.
- 在MCPS中,通过2021年方程将其重新分类到更高的eGFR类别与所有原因,心血管和相关死亡率的风险降低有关.
结论:
- 根据CKD-EPI 2021方程,墨西哥的低eGFR患病率较低.
- 与2009年方程相比,2021年的方程提供了与2009年方程相比具有预后意义的eGFR类别重新分类.
- 支持实施CKD-EPI 2021方程,用于墨西哥人口健康监测,而不会损失预后效用.
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