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论文标题:基于塔皮奥模型和EKC曲线的建筑碳排放和经济增长的脱分析
Wei Sun1, Zhenggang Huo2, Sensen Zhang3
1College of Civil Science and Engineering, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, 225127, China.
Carbon balance and management
|December 13, 2025
概括
中国的建筑行业在将碳排放与经济增长脱方面取得了进展,大多数东部和中部地区实现了微弱的脱. 然而,为了在全国范围内实现可持续发展,需要进一步减少排放.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
背景情况:
- 中国的建筑业是全球重要的碳排放者.
- 了解碳排放与经济增长之间的联系对发展中国家至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析中国建筑业碳排放与经济发展之间的关系.
- 评估30个中国省份的脱状态和环境库兹内茨曲线 (EKC) 趋势.
主要方法:
- 采用了塔皮奥脱模型.
- 使用的环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 理论.
- 应用了灰色相关性分析.
主要成果:
- 大多数中国中部和东部地区表现出稳定的弱脱.
- 18个地区在2022年显示了反转的U形曲线,表明排放的潜在峰值.
- 北京,河北和四川省已经超过了碳排放峰值.
- 国家建筑业正处于扩张性连接阶段,朝着协调状态 (解指数为0.92) 迈进.
结论:
- 在中国的建筑行业中,有显著的机会减少碳排放.
- 基于观察到的脱趋势的区域化战略是有效的排放控制的建议.
- 实施量身定制的措施将促进该部门的绿色和可持续发展.
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