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通过模拟关系镜头评估国家气候中立性计划:希腊的案例
Phoebe Koundouri1,2,3,4,5,6, Angelos Alamanos7, Ioannis Arampatzidis3,4,5,6
1School of Economics, DIEES Department, ReSEES Laboratory, Athens University of Economics and Business, Athens, Greece.
概括
希腊可以通过协调能源,农业和水利政策,到2050年实现气候中立. 实现国内生物燃料潜力和解决基础设施限制对于减排至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 气候变化缓解缓解 气候变化缓解
背景情况:
- 气候中立的全球要求需要综合,多部门的方法.
- 希腊现有的能源,农业和水资源政策需要对气候目标进行评估.
- 跨学科和科学支持的政策对于有效的气候行动至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 模拟到2050年希腊气候中立的情况.
- 评估关键能源,农业和水利政策对减排的影响.
- 确定实现气候目标的相互依赖和限制.
主要方法:
- 使用一个链接-连接框架,集成多个模拟工具.
- 使用了FABLE计算器,低排放分析平台 (LEAP),WaterReqGCH,LandReqCalcGCH和生物燃料GCH.
- 模拟了一个基于希腊国家气候中立目标的场景.
主要成果:
- 在乐观的政策实施下,到2050年可以实现显著的减排.
- 与能源相关的排放可能减少五倍,总能源需求减少约20%.
- 实现国内生物燃料潜力提供了进一步的减排机会.
- 确定了被忽视的部门相互依存和基础设施限制 (例如,可再生能源的土地需求).
结论:
- 希腊实现气候中立的进展高度依赖于全面和协调的政策实施.
- 解决土地-能源-水政策之间的权衡问题至关重要.
- 建议提供了统一和整体的可持续过渡.
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