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生态系统服务供应-流量-需求合的规模依赖驱动因素在山西黄河流域,中国
Shurong Wu1,2,3, Ruobin Li1,2,3, Yuying Yan1,2,3
1Institute of Loess Plateau Research, Shanxi University, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030006, China.
iScience
|December 16, 2025
概括
生态系统服务 (ES) 的供应通常满足黄河流域各个规模的需求. 然而,供需不匹配和驱动因素的影响与规模有很大差异,影响生态管理.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 空间分析 空间分析
背景情况:
- 有效的生态管理需要了解生态系统服务 (ES) 的供应-流动-需求动态.
- 综合这些关系跨多个尺度对于全面规划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估山西黄河流域在电网,流域和县级的六个ES.
- 识别关键驱动因素并模拟ES流量,以了解依赖规模的关系.
主要方法:
- 使用冗余分析 (RDA) 来确定关键驱动因素.
- 使用极端梯度提升 (XGBoost) 来模拟ES流.
- 在多个尺度 (网格,流域,县) 进行了空间分析.
主要成果:
- 总的来说,ES的供应满足了需求,观察到空间聚类 (例如,西北/东南的ES,低地的作物生产).
- 供需不匹配显示了规模依赖的模式,在电网层面具有更细致的细节,在更广泛的规模上增强了异质性.
- 关键驱动因素 (温度,降水,人口密度,GDP) 始终影响ES,但它们的影响强度在不同尺度上有所不同.
- ES流体呈现出不同的方向模式 (例如,休和作物生产从城市到农村).
结论:
- 该研究为流域规模的可持续发展规划提供了可转移的框架.
- 对于区域平衡生态和经济需求而言,了解规模依赖的ES动态至关重要.
- 这些发现强调了多层次分析对于有效的生态管理和政策的重要性.
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