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气候变化已经使美国变得更加贫困
Derek Lemoine1,2,3
1Department of Economics, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721.
概括
气候变化已经影响美国经济,减少年收入. 这些由变化的天气模式驱动的经济影响是广泛的,可以每年追踪.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 气候变化影响气候变化的影响.
- 经济建模经济建模
背景情况:
- 地球的气候正在经历重大变化.
- 这些气候变化对经济系统有明显的影响.
研究的目的:
- 制定一个正式的框架,量化气候变化对美国各县的经济影响.
- 分析局部和国家气候模式的变化如何影响县级经济.
主要方法:
- 制定了一个正式的框架来评估气候变化的经济影响.
- 将当前和过去的当地和非当地天气数据纳入经济模型.
- 分析了温度变化对美国各县经济的影响.
主要成果:
- 由于局部温度变化,气候变化目前使美国的年度收入减少了约0.32%,主要集中在大平原和中西部.
- 包括过去的温度和非本地天气影响,估计收入损失增加到12%,分布更广泛.
- 有证据表明,美国的贸易网络在全国范围内传播气候变化的经济影响.
结论:
- 气候变化对美国经济构成了可衡量的经济威胁.
- 一个全面的框架可以量化这些影响,考虑当地和遥远的天气变化.
- 这些计算的年度更新可以有效地监测和传达气候变化的经济进展.
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