过度自信是一种特质吗? 一个敌对的合作
Jabin Binnendyk1, Sophia Li2, Thomas Costello3
1Department of Psychology, Cornell University.
Psychological science
|December 16, 2025
概括
过度自信可能是一个真正的心理特征. 新的研究使用新的任务与表面随机的表现表明一致的个人差异的信心,支持特征假设.
科学领域:
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
- 行为科学 行为科学
背景情况:
- 过度自信的性质,特别是它是否是一种心理特征,仍然是学术辩论的主题.
- 之前的研究曾面临过度自信与特定任务的绩效因素分离的挑战.
研究的目的:
- 调查过度自信是否可以作为心理特征可靠地测量.
- 解决关于过度自信的基本性质的学术争议.
主要方法:
- 两个研究团队之间具有预先注册的分析和预测的对抗性合作.
- 开发具有表面随机性能的新任务,以测量特征过度自信,而无需与任务相关的混.
- 这项研究涉及942名美国成年人,通过CloudConnect收集数据.
主要成果:
- 通过确认因素分析和原始相关性,在新任务中发现了强大的信任关系.
- 研究结果表明,即使表现是随机的,个人也会对自己的表现能力表现出一致的信念.
- 有证据支持特征过度自信的存在.
结论:
- 这项研究支持过度自信可能作为一种真正的心理特征的说法.
- 在测量随机执行任务的信心方面,方法上的创新为特征评估提供了一个新的途径.
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