在多重简易性流行病网络上的图灵不稳定性,具有交叉扩散和行为延迟
1School of Mathematics and Statistics, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, 450046, Henan, China.
Bio Systems
|December 18, 2025
概括
复杂的流行病模式是由传播途径和人类延迟反应引起的. 分散易感群体和减少反应时间可以减轻疫情和空间传播.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 网络科学 网络科学
- 数学生物学 数学生物学
背景情况:
- 现代流行病表现为空间热点和定期爆发.
- 这些复杂的时空模式是由传输动态和人类行为反应驱动的.
研究的目的:
- 调查多体传播和延迟行为反应对流行病时空模式的影响.
- 在多重简化复合体上分析流行病动态,并结合行为反应延迟.
主要方法:
- 在多重简化复合体上开发了一种反应扩散流行病模型.
- 采用线性稳定性分析来确定图灵不稳定性和延迟诱导的Hopf分叉的条件.
- 利用数值模拟来验证理论发现.
主要成果:
- 高阶拓结构和交叉扩散扩大不稳定性领域,促进空间模式的形成.
- 敏感个体的高阶聚合触发了图灵不稳定性;受感染的层结构调节了它的范围.
- 行为反应延迟作为一个分支参数,诱导超出关键值的时间振荡.
结论:
- 分散更高阶易感集群和减少反应延迟可以减轻流行病的空间异质性和反复爆发.
- 网络拓和人类行为共同塑造复杂的传染模式,加深对流行病动态的理解.
相关概念视频
Causality in Epidemiology
1.5K
Causality or causation is a fundamental concept in epidemiology, vital for understanding the relationships between various factors and health outcomes. Despite its importance, there's no single, universally accepted definition of causality within the discipline. Drawing from a systematic review, causality in epidemiology encompasses several definitions, including production, necessary and sufficient, sufficient-component, counterfactual, and probabilistic models. Each has its strengths and...
1.5K
Multimachine Stability
532
Multimachine stability analysis is crucial for understanding the dynamics and stability of power systems with multiple synchronous machines. The objective is to solve the swing equations for a network of M machines connected to an N-bus power system.
In analyzing the system, the nodal equations represent the relationship between bus voltages, machine voltages, and machine currents. The nodal equation is given by:
In analyzing the system, the nodal equations represent the relationship between bus voltages, machine voltages, and machine currents. The nodal equation is given by:
532
Mutation, Gene Flow, and Genetic Drift
61.6K
In a population that is not at Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, the frequency of alleles changes over time. Therefore, any deviations from the five conditions of Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium can alter the genetic variation of a given population. Conditions that change the genetic variability of a population include mutations, natural selection, non-random mating, gene flow, and genetic drift (small population size).
61.6K
BIBO stability of continuous and discrete -time systems
869
System stability is a fundamental concept in signal processing, often assessed using convolution. For a system to be considered bounded-input bounded-output (BIBO) stable, any bounded input signal must produce a bounded output signal. A bounded input signal is one where the modulus does not exceed a certain constant at any point in time.
To determine the BIBO stability, the convolution integral is utilized when a bounded continuous-time input is applied to a Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) system....
To determine the BIBO stability, the convolution integral is utilized when a bounded continuous-time input is applied to a Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) system....
869
Steps in Outbreak Investigation
468
In the ever-evolving field of public health, statistical analysis serves as a cornerstone for understanding and managing disease outbreaks. By leveraging various statistical tools, health professionals can predict potential outbreaks, analyze ongoing situations, and devise effective responses to mitigate impact. For that to happen, there are a few possible stages of the analysis:
468
Exponential Equations for Modeling Growth
183
Exponential models are essential for describing rapid, multiplicative changes in natural systems, such as population growth. When a population doubles at regular intervals, the process can be modeled using a suitable base. For instance, a bacterial culture that doubles every three hours follows the model n(t)=n0⋅2t/3, where n(t) is the population at the time t.A more general model uses the natural base e, especially for continuous growth. This takes the form n(t)=n0⋅ert, where r is...
183


