在湖农业-湿地系统的灌排水组合方案的最佳决策支持
Sijin Feng1, Yu Li1, Zhe Zhu1
1School of Hydraulic Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, Liaoning Province, 116024, China.
Journal of environmental management
|December 19, 2025
概括
优化农业排水是保护湖泊湿地免受营养污染的关键. 这项研究制定了一个框架,以平衡灌需求与湿地健康,为可持续的水资源管理设定最佳排水量.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
- 生态工程生态工程生态工程
背景情况:
- 湖泊相邻的农业湿地系统通过灌排水连接农业生产和湿地生态.
- 富含 (N) 和 (P) 的农业排水带来了缩的风险,特别是随着灌的扩大.
- 保护湿地生态系统需要为农业排水量设定适当的值.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个决策支持框架,以优化灌-排水方案.
- 为了减轻湖泊邻的农业湿地系统中的缩风险.
- 为平衡农业发展和湿地保护提供科学支持.
主要方法:
- 基于物理的水力动力学水质模型 (Delft3D) 与机器学习替代模型 (FC-ANN) 的集成.
- 应用可行性领域分析和沙普利增量解释 (SHAP) 进行因子识别.
- 适用于中国东北部查甘湖系统的案例研究.
主要成果:
- 实现了超过97%的预测准确度,并显著提高了计算效率.
- 使用SHAP识别和量化影响水质的关键因素.
- 确定了最佳的年度排水量:千安庄的1.86亿立方米,大安灌区的7.0亿立方米.
结论:
- 开发的框架为区域水资源管理提供了一个系统和可扩展的解决方案.
- 生态工程干预可以在未来条件下扩大可行的排水场景.
- 在日益增长的环境压力下,为可持续资源治理提供科学支持.
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