基于机器学习的全周期评估方法,用于煤矿煤气开采性能
Jianhui Wu1, Lizhen Zhao2,3, Yang Du3
1Henan Energy Chemical Construction Group Co., Ltd., Zhengzhou, Henan 454000, China.
ACS omega
|December 22, 2025
概括
这项研究引入了评估煤矿天然气开采的新框架,提高了安全性和效率. 先进的模型准确地预测气体压力,帮助智能矿山管理.
科学领域:
- 采矿工程 采矿工程 采矿工程
- 地质技术工程 地质技术工程
- 计算科学 计算科学
背景情况:
- 煤炭开采深度增加,导致关键的天然气相关灾害.
- 目前的天然气开采缺乏科学评估,动态监测和及时的有效性评估.
- 这些限制阻碍了安全和高效的煤炭资源开采.
研究的目的:
- 建立一个全面的,全周期的煤矿天然气开采评估框架.
- 开发用于初步方案评估和动态监测的预测模型.
- 为加强煤矿安全和智能管理提供科学决策支持.
主要方法:
- 基于贝叶斯优化的随机森林回归 (BO-RFR) 用于初步方案评估.
- 深度神经网络和卷积自编码器 (DNN-CAE) 用于残气压力场的动态预测和重建.
- 将这些模型整合到从设计到实施的全周期评估框架中.
主要成果:
- 在BO-RFR模型中,预测余气压的误差低于0.02 MPa.
- DNN-CAE动态评估模型表现出高准确度,MSE为2.73 × 10 ^ - 5和MAE为0.00493.
- 现场测试证实了在实际应用中提出的方法的准确性和可靠性.
结论:
- 开发的框架和模型为煤矿天然气控制挑战提供了有效的解决方案.
- 能够精确控制和智能管理天然气提取过程.
- 显著的实用价值被证明是提高煤矿生产安全.
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