分解州级健康结果的空间影响:一个方法论演示和重新分析
Dritjon Gruda1,2, Paul Hanges3, Jim A McCleskey4,5
1Universidade Católica Portuguesa, Católica Porto Business School, Research Centre in Economics and Management, Porto, Portugal.
概括
心理学研究中的空间自回归模型需要冲击分解. 忽视空间溢出效应可以改变或逆转自恋和健康行为的发现,警告不要直接影响解释.
科学领域:
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
- 空间计量经济学空间计量
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 空间自回归 (SAR) 模型在心理学研究中很常见.
- 研究人员经常无法将影响分解为直接,间接和总影响.
- 这种省略是空间计量经济学的标准实践.
研究的目的:
- 为了证明心理研究SAR模型中的冲击分解的必要性.
- 用强大的方法重新分析美国黑暗三元组和健康数据集.
- 揭示空间溢出效应如何影响心理和健康相关的发现.
主要方法:
- 应用的异构粘性强的空间自回归 (SAR) 模型.
- 进行了全面的冲击分解分析.
- 重新分析了美国黑暗三位数和健康数据集 (Gruda等人,2024).
主要成果:
- 自恋对高血压死亡率的直接保护作用在考虑空间溢出效应后消失了.
- 自恋与较低的癌症患病率/抑郁症之间的关联得到加强.
- 几项健康行为发现的方向逆转,表明合并的州内和州际效应.
- 马基雅维利主义和精神病症的关联也发生了显著的转变.
结论:
- 空间溢出效应可以大大改变,稀释或逆转心理研究中的局部影响估计.
- 纯粹的回归分析可能会混状态内和状态间的效应.
- 仅从空间模型中直接影响估计得出的政策影响可能是误导性的.
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