新出现的通胀-通缩周期来自于极简主义的工资动态
Tobias H B Holm1, Kim Sneppen1
1University of Copenhagen, Niels Bohr Institute, Copenhagen 2100, Denmark.
Physical review. E
|December 23, 2025
概括
本研究引入了一个基于代理的模型,展示了工资动态本身是如何创造经济周期的. 它表明,简单的工资竞争可以导致通胀-通缩,经济衰退和破产,而没有债务.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 计算经济学计算经济学
- 经济建模经济建模
背景情况:
- 费舍尔的债务-通货紧缩模型是理解经济衰退和政策的基础.
- 在周期性经济动态中包含积极反的定量模型很少.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个基于代理的模型来探索内生通胀-通缩周期.
- 调查工资动态如何影响宏观经济稳定和商业周期.
主要方法:
- 创建了一个基于代理的模型,公司根据工资调整工资,工人根据工资选择雇主.
- 该模型模拟的相互作用没有明确包括债务或失业.
主要成果:
- 该模型产生了内生通胀-通缩周期和不规则的衰退.
- 工资增长,消费者需求和公司脆弱性驱动之间的反观察到宏观经济动态.
- 该模型质量地重现了通胀波动,衰退模式和不对称的资产回报率.
结论:
- 复杂的宏观经济行为可以从简单的,工资驱动的相互作用中出现.
- 工资动态在产生经济周期和不稳定性方面发挥着至关重要的作用.
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