欧洲人为排放的网格清单
Marya El Malki1, Antoon Visschedijk1, Ingrid Super1
1Air quality and Emissions Research (AER), TNO, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
iScience
|December 23, 2025
概括
对于欧洲的气候目标来说,气排放是一个越来越令人担忧的问题. 这项研究揭示了运输和木材燃烧产生的大量排放,如果未经管理,未来的气生产可能会加剧影响.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候变化缓解缓解 气候变化缓解
- 大气化学 大气化学
背景情况:
- (H2) 对欧洲的低碳经济转型至关重要.
- 目前的报告缺乏气排放数据,阻碍了影响评估.
- 气排放对环境的影响还未得到充分研究,这给我们带来了挑战.
研究的目的:
- 创建欧洲第一个人为排放的网格清单.
- 量化当前的气排放源及其空间分布.
- 预测未来的气排放场景及其气候影响.
主要方法:
- 综合自下而上的估计与空间解析的活动数据.
- 为欧洲制定了一个网格化排放清单.
- 分析了各个部门的排放贡献.
主要成果:
- 在2022年,欧洲人类造成的气总排放量约为327 ktH2/年.
- 主要来源包括内燃机 (38%) 和住宅木材燃烧 (35%).
- 来自价值链的排放量为~83 ktH2/年,但预计将大幅增加.
结论:
- 运输和木材燃烧产生的气排放量很大.
- 到2050年气生产增加5到6倍可能使气价值链成为主要的排放来源.
- 如果不控制排放,气生产的未经管理的增长可能会危及气候效益.
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