关于劳动力市场信息摩擦的认知观点
1Institute of Neural Information Processing, Ulm University, 89075 Ulm, Germany.
Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)
|December 24, 2025
概括
工人搜索行为,而不仅仅是强度,影响工作匹配. 高度的不确定性将努力从求职转移到学习,减缓失业率的恢复,并将贝维里奇曲线转移.
科学领域:
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
- 宏观经济学 宏观经济学
- 认知科学 认知科学
背景情况:
- 经济衰退期间的劳动力市场显示失业率复苏缓慢,贝维里奇曲线转移,表明工作匹配效率降低.
- 现有的解释往往侧重于工人搜索强度,忽视了搜索行为的方向.
研究的目的:
- 通过自由能源原则的透视来提出解释失业持久性和贝维里奇曲线转移的理论模型.
- 调查认知因素,特别是信念对齐和学习努力如何影响宏观经济匹配效率.
主要方法:
- 根据自由能源原理开发了一种风格化的理论模型,以代表代理商在求职申请和市场学习之间分配努力.
- 构建了一个宏观经济模型,结合了认知因素,如错误的信念和学习努力,以确定匹配效率.
- 利用模拟分析来检查结构性冲击对劳动力市场动态的影响.
主要成果:
- 当面对高度的不确定性时,代理人会动态地将努力从求职转移到学习.
- 匹配效率是由失业工人的比例和他们的集体学习努力决定的.
- 结构性冲击增加了不确定性,转移了学习的努力,降低了匹配效率,并导致了持续的失业.
结论:
- 认知因素,特别是信念失调和学习力度,为持续的失业和贝维里奇曲线转移提供了新的解释.
- 工人搜索行为方向受到不确定性和认知过程的影响,对于理解经济衰退期间的劳动力市场动态至关重要.
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