气候变化和出生结果-来自巴西的证据
Tallys Kalynka Feldens1, Victor Rodrigues de Oliveira2
1Post-Graduate Program in Economic Development, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil; RISE-Health, Faculty of Medicine of the University of Porto, Portugal; Istituto di Management e Sanità, L'EMbeDS, Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna di Pisa, Pisa, Italy..
Economics and human biology
|December 24, 2025
概括
气候变化对巴西新生儿出生体重产生了负面影响,特别是在脆弱的,服务不足的地区. 保护这些种群对于减轻极端天气事件带来的风险至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
- 围产期流行病学 围产期流行病学
背景情况:
- 气候变化对全球新生儿健康构成重大风险.
- 关于气候变化对巴西新生儿健康的具体影响的数据有限,巴西是一个高度不平等和贫困的国家.
研究的目的:
- 为了研究温度变化与巴西新生儿出生体重之间的联系.
- 量化气候变化对巴西市区围产期健康的影响.
主要方法:
- 对大型数据集的分析 (大约. 4500万次观察) 的新生儿出生体重.
- 研究了温度升高和历史平均值偏差对出生体重的影响.
- 从2000年到2020年,收集了巴西各市镇的数据.
主要成果:
- 温度升高和天气变化与出生体重降低有关.
- 无论是热还是冷的冲击都对围产期健康产生了负面影响,而第三个三个月是最敏感的.
- 影响在孤立和服务不足的人群中更为明显;降水效应是不确定的.
结论:
- 气候变化的影响已经在巴西显而易见,影响新生儿的健康.
- 巴西的弱势群体需要有针对性的保护和适应战略.
- 缓解与气候有关的风险对于保护公共健康至关重要.
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