在爱尔兰沿海地区使用机器学习建模悬浮沉积物度
Aoife Igoe1, Iris Möller2, Biswajit Basu3
1Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures
|December 25, 2025
概括
这项研究开发了一种使用卫星图像来估计悬浮沉积物度 (SSC) 的机器学习模型. XGBoost模型准确地预测SSC,为沿海环境提供可扩展和具有成本效益的监测解决方案.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 遥感 遥感 遥感 遥感
- 沿海的地质形态学
背景情况:
- 在动态的沿海环境中监测悬浮沉积物度 (SSC) 是至关重要的,但由于传统方法的局限性而具有挑战性.
- 遥感为SSC估计提供了一个潜在的解决方案,但需要校准,并且可以特定于地点.
- 测量SSC的现有方法昂贵,物流复杂,空间有限.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证一个国家级的机器学习框架,用卫星图像来估计SSC.
- 评估用于SSC预测的不同机器学习模型的性能和可解释性.
- 在一个案例研究领域展示开发的空间时间SSC分析框架的应用.
主要方法:
- 利用Landsat-8和Sentinel-2卫星图像进行全国范围的SSC估计.
- 使用147个现场SSC样本对模型进行校准.
- 采用 XGBoost 机器学习算法和 SHapley 添加式扩展来实现模型的可解释性.
主要成果:
- 在XGBoost模型取得的最佳性能是R2=0.72和RMSE=17 mg/L.
- 可见和红外波段以及地理特征被确定为SSC估计的关键预测因素.
- 在韦克斯福德港进行了为期10年的时空分析,揭示了高SSC事件和气象驱动因素 (降雨,风) 之间的季节性模式和相关性.
结论:
- 遥感和机器学习的整合提供了一个可扩展,可解释和具有成本效益的方法来监测沿海SSC.
- 开发的框架准确地估计了SSC,并捕捉了它与沿海类型学和气象因素的关系.
- 这种方法通过改进的SSC监测提高了我们了解沿海过程,水质和生态系统健康的能力.
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