挑战中国的环境库兹涅茨曲线:来自动态面板值模型的证据,具有横截面依赖
Yi Hu1, Kexin Guan2, Shouyang Wang3
1School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China; MOE Social Science Laboratory of Digital Economic Forecasts and Policy Simulation at UCAS, Beijing, 100190, China.
Journal of environmental management
|December 28, 2025
概括
环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 假设不适用于中国. 经济增长和碳排放显示脱,允许同时发展和减少污染.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
背景情况:
- 环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 假设经济发展与环境污染之间存在一个反转的U形关系.
- 评估EKC的适用性对于可持续发展战略至关重要,特别是在中国等快速发展的经济体中.
研究的目的:
- 在中国重新评估环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 假设.
- 分析经济增长和碳排放之间的动态关系,使用省级面板数据 (1997-2021年).
主要方法:
- 开发一个依赖性强大的动态面板值模型.
- 计算非线性调节转移,横截面依赖和常见冲击.
- 分析人均,总和以增长为基础的碳排放规格.
主要成果:
- 在适当地解决横截面依赖问题时,EKC假设被发现在中国是不适用的.
- 观察到碳排放与经济增长之间的明显脱模式.
- 中国的碳排放主要是由结构和能源使用因素驱动的,而不仅仅是经济发展水平.
结论:
- 中国拥有同时实现经济增长和减少碳排放的巨大潜力.
- 这些发现支持有针对性的能源效率战略和清洁能源的部署.
- 结果主张加强协调的区域碳治理,将增长与排放脱.
相关概念视频
Econometric Views (EViews)
522
Econometric Views, often stylized as EViews, is a package that merges statistical analysis with econometric studies. It is designed to provide tools for time series analysis, forecasting, and econometric model simulation. The software originated from MicroTSP software and has evolved significantly since its inception in 1981. The history of EViews is marked by a continuous effort to enhance its computational speed and user interface. It was initially developed for large computing systems but...
522
Dynamic Equilibrium
61.4K
A reversible chemical reaction represents a chemical process that proceeds in both forward (left to right) and reverse (right to left) directions. When the rates of the forward and reverse reactions are equal, the concentrations of the reactant and product species remain constant over time and the system is at equilibrium. A special double arrow is used to emphasize the reversible nature of the reaction. The relative concentrations of reactants and products in equilibrium systems vary greatly;...
61.4K
Parameters Affecting Nonlinear Elimination: Zero-Order Input, First-Order Absorption and Two-Compartment Model
268
Drugs administered through various routes can lead to nonlinear elimination, resulting in complex pharmacokinetic behaviors crucial to understanding efficacious drug dosing.
When a drug is administered through a constant intravenous infusion and eliminated via nonlinear pharmacokinetics, it follows zero-order input. For example, oral drugs undergo first-order absorption upon administration and are eliminated through nonlinear pharmacokinetics.
In the case of subcutaneously administered drugs,...
When a drug is administered through a constant intravenous infusion and eliminated via nonlinear pharmacokinetics, it follows zero-order input. For example, oral drugs undergo first-order absorption upon administration and are eliminated through nonlinear pharmacokinetics.
In the case of subcutaneously administered drugs,...
268
Outliers and Influential Points
5.8K
An outlier is an observation of data that does not fit the rest of the data. It is sometimes called an extreme value. When you graph an outlier, it will appear not to fit the pattern of the graph. Some outliers are due to mistakes (for example, writing down 50 instead of 500), while others may indicate that something unusual is happening. Outliers are present far from the least squares line in the vertical direction. They have large "errors," where the "error" or residual is the...
5.8K
Exponential Equations for Modeling Growth
180
Exponential models are essential for describing rapid, multiplicative changes in natural systems, such as population growth. When a population doubles at regular intervals, the process can be modeled using a suitable base. For instance, a bacterial culture that doubles every three hours follows the model n(t)=n0⋅2t/3, where n(t) is the population at the time t.A more general model uses the natural base e, especially for continuous growth. This takes the form n(t)=n0⋅ert, where r is...
180
Regression Toward the Mean
6.8K
Regression toward the mean (“RTM”) is a phenomenon in which extremely high or low values—for example, and individual’s blood pressure at a particular moment—appear closer to a group’s average upon remeasuring. Although this statistical peculiarity is the result of random error and chance, it has been problematic across various medical, scientific, financial and psychological applications. In particular, RTM, if not taken into account, can interfere when...
6.8K


