临床预测模型的必要性和可行性评估工具,用于在启动之前的个人预后:多部门的德尔菲共识研究研究
Xiaohang Liu1, Yaguang Peng1, Nan Li2,3
1Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Evidence-Based Medicine, Beijing Children's Hospital, Capital Medical University, National Center for Children Health, Beijing, China.
Journal of evidence-based medicine
|December 30, 2025
概括
一个新的评估工具,FATCLIP,帮助研究人员评估临床预测模型的必要性和可行性. 这确保了高效的研究,并避免在开发这些至关重要的预后工具时浪费资源.
科学领域:
- 临床流行病学 临床流行病学
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
- 医疗保健服务研究 医疗服务研究
背景情况:
- 许多临床预测模型仍然未被应用,需要对新研究进行严格的证明.
- 基于证据的审查对于验证开发新型预测模型的必要性至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个评估工具来评估临床预测模型的必要性和可行性.
- 帮助研究人员和同行评审人员进行快速,全面的项目评估.
主要方法:
- 一个由15名专家组成的指导小组确定了范围,框架和项目库.
- 一个代的Delphi过程涉及34个多学科专家改进了评估工具.
- 框架的开发遵循了已建立的质量评估工具指南.
主要成果:
- 开发了针对个体预后的临床预测模型 (FATCLIP) 的必要性和可行性评估工具.
- 专家共识建立了一个框架,包括6个领域和31个信号问题.
- 领域包括预测结果,现有模型审查,预测器,数据,开发/验证和应用.
结论:
- FATCLIP有助于识别临床预测模型开发和应用中的潜在挑战.
- 该工具促进有效的研究,防止在现场浪费资源.
- 它支持在启动临床预测模型项目之前做出明智决策.
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