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中国足球改革的十年:进化特征,绩效评估,反思和见解
Zheng Li1, Peng Du2, Wanjin Deng2
1Faculty of Education, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China.
PloS one
|December 30, 2025
概括
中国中国中国中国.
科学领域:
- 体育管理运动管理
- 公共政策分析 公共政策分析
- 量化社会科学 量化社会科学
背景情况:
- 中国在2015年启动的足球改革需要在2025年10周年之际获得强有力的政策支持.
- 通过对政策文本的定量分析来评估政策有效性,对于深化改革至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化评估国家一级政策支持中国足球改革的有效性.
- 开发和应用一个框架,对政策文本进行实证分析.
主要方法:
- 文本分析,德尔菲方法,内容分析,以及政策建模和计算 (PMC) 指数模型.
- 使用PMC指数和面积图进行十项代表性国家级中国足球改革政策的定量评估.
主要成果:
- 总的来说,对这十项政策的评价是"好",其中两个是示范性政策,四个是好政策,四个是温和政策.
- 政策设计通常是合理的,但需要更多的示范性政策.
- 榜样性政策的特点是局部化的顶级设计和以示例为导向的效果.
结论:
- 中国的足球改革战略是长期的,渐进的,有执行滞后的情况.
- 适度和良好的政策面临着协调设计和克服制度约束的挑战.
- 以过程为导向的方法对于将政策文本优势转化为有效的治理至关重要.
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