机器学习预测冷回收混合青的道路性能,使用遗传算法超参数优化.
Zongyuan Wu1,2, Shiming Li1, Decai Wang1
1School of Civil Engineering and Communication, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou 450045, China.
Materials (Basel, Switzerland)
|December 31, 2025
概括
机器学习模型准确地预测了冷回收混合青 (CRMA) 的性能. 优化的XGBoost模型确定了诸如固化温度等关键因素,有助于可持续的路面设计.
科学领域:
- 土木工程 土木工程是指土木工程.
- 材料科学 材料科学 材料科学
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 冷回收混合青 (CRMA) 是一种可持续的路面技术,由于对材料组成和固化敏感,因此面临性能预测挑战.
- 准确预测CRMA性能对于有效地修复和维护路面至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证机器学习 (ML) 模型,用于预测关键CRMA性能指标:动态稳定性 (DS) 和间接拉伸强度 (ITS).
- 使用可解释的ML技术,识别影响CRMA性能的关键因素.
主要方法:
- 在436个CRMA样本的数据集上训练了四个ML算法 (ANN,XGBoost,RF,SVR).
- 使用遗传算法 (GA) 优化模型超参数.
- 使用SHAP方法解释模型预测并确定影响因素.
主要成果:
- 经GA优化的XGBoost对DS (R2=0.9793) 和ITS (R2=0.9694) 均表现出卓越的预测准确性.
- 固化温度,再生青路面 (RAP) 含量和固化时间被确定为影响CRMA性能最重要的因素.
- 该研究为CRMA性能预测建立了一个准确和可解释的ML框架.
结论:
- 机器学习,特别是GA优化的XGBoost,为预测CRMA性能提供了强大的方法.
- 了解诸如固化条件和材料组成等因素的影响,可以为耐用和可持续的路面设计优化的混合设计.
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