在1990-2021年期间,中国的前列腺癌负担以及到2050年的预测
Lei Hua1,2,3, Qiulin Huang1,2,3, Jinlei Zhang1,2,3
1School of Public Health, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, China.
Prostate international
|December 31, 2025
概括
中国的前列腺癌负担正在迅速上升,发病率和患病率不断增加. 预测显示,这一增长将持续到2050年,这强调了前列腺癌早期查和预防战略的必要性.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 在瘤学瘤学.
背景情况:
- 前列腺癌 (PC) 在中国是一个重大的健康挑战.
- 了解PC负担的当前趋势和未来预测对于公共卫生规划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为介绍有关中国前列腺癌负担的最新数据.
- 预测到2050年前列腺癌发病率和死亡率.
主要方法:
- 利用了2021年全球疾病负担 (GBD) 数据库.
- 采用了年龄周期队列模型,边界分析,分解分析和预测模型.
- 分析了PC发病率,流行率,死亡率和残疾调整寿命年 (DALYs) 的时间趋势.
主要成果:
- 在2021年,年龄标准化发病率和流行率分别为每10万人中9.34和59.86,自1990年以来大幅增加.
- 死亡率和DALY率保持稳定,但预计到2050年,发病率和流行率将上升.
- 人口老龄化和流行病学转变被确定为PC负担增加的主要驱动因素.
结论:
- 中国的前列腺癌负担正在升级,年轻患者的患病率有所增加.
- 这种趋势对中国现在和未来的男性健康构成重大威胁.
- 建议加强高风险群体的早期查计划和预防策略.
相关概念视频
Disorders of the Male Reproductive System
3.9K
Men's health issues are increasingly recognized as significant, with several conditions posing common threats. Among these, testicular cancer is especially prevalent in younger men, particularly those aged 20 to 35 years. The disease often manifests as a painless mass in the testicles, sometimes accompanied by a sensation of heaviness or a dull ache.
Prostate disorders are another major concern. These conditions can impair urinary flow due to the prostate's location around the urethra....
Prostate disorders are another major concern. These conditions can impair urinary flow due to the prostate's location around the urethra....
3.9K
Cancer Survival Analysis
626
Cancer survival analysis focuses on quantifying and interpreting the time from a key starting point, such as diagnosis or the initiation of treatment, to a specific endpoint, such as remission or death. This analysis provides critical insights into treatment effectiveness and factors that influence patient outcomes, helping to shape clinical decisions and guide prognostic evaluations. A cornerstone of oncology research, survival analysis tackles the challenges of skewed, non-normally...
626
Targeted Cancer Therapies
8.6K
The targeted cancer therapies, also known as “molecular targeted therapies,” take advantage of the molecular and genetic differences between the cancer cells and the normal cells. It needs a thorough understanding of the cancer cells to develop drugs that can target specific molecular aspects that drive the growth, progression, and spread of cancer cells without affecting the growth and survival of other normal cells in the body.
There are several types of targeted therapies against...
There are several types of targeted therapies against...
8.6K
Tumor Progression
7.2K
Tumor progression is a phenomenon where the pre-formed tumor acquires successive mutations to become clinically more aggressive and malignant. In the 1950s, Foulds first described the stepwise progression of cancer cells through successive stages.
Colon cancer is one of the best-documented examples of tumor progression. Early mutation in the APC gene in colon cells causes a small growth on the colon wall called a polyp. With time, this polyp grows into a benign, pre-cancerous tumor. Further...
Colon cancer is one of the best-documented examples of tumor progression. Early mutation in the APC gene in colon cells causes a small growth on the colon wall called a polyp. With time, this polyp grows into a benign, pre-cancerous tumor. Further...
7.2K


