毒品使用引起的传染病的全球负担和预测:来自GBD 2021年的证据
Xueqing Gong1,2, Yuanqian Yao1,2, Lu Wang1,2
1Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China.
Frontiers in public health
|December 31, 2025
概括
毒品使用显著推动艾滋病毒/艾滋病和肝炎等传染病. 虽然负担已经转移,但干预措施可以减轻风险,实现全球卫生目标.
科学领域:
- 全球健康 全球健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 传染病研究 传染病研究
背景情况:
- 药物使用是全球传染病的主要,低估的风险因素.
- 缺乏全面的数据阻碍了朝着世界卫生组织2030年传染病消除目标的进展.
研究的目的:
- 提供第一个可归因于吸毒的传染病负担的全球评估.
- 分析趋势,不平等,并使用2021年全球疾病负担 (GBD) 研究预测未来的负担.
主要方法:
- 在204个国家 (GBD2021) 分析了艾滋病毒/艾滋病,性传播感染和其他与吸毒有关的传染病的死亡率和DALY.
- 雇佣的趋势分析,健康不平等评估,司机分解,年龄时期队列建模和ARIMA到2036年的预测.
主要成果:
- 与使用毒品相关的艾滋病毒/艾滋病和性传播疾病的全球年龄标准化死亡率从1990年至2021年增加了135%,在2005年左右达到顶峰.
- 其他传染病的死亡率下降了57%;30-54岁的男性承受了最大的负担.
- 艾滋病毒/艾滋病和性传播疾病的负担转移到高SDI国家;预计到2036年,负担将下降82.9%.
结论:
- 毒品使用仍然是传染病负担的关键和不断变化的驱动因素.
- 有针对性的干预和治理对于减轻与使用毒品相关的传染病风险至关重要.
- 实现全球卫生目标需要解决毒品使用和传染病之间的复杂相互作用.
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