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Updated: Jan 13, 2026

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在拥挤的地铁枢纽上以安全为导向的乘客流量控制:微观方法
Jun Zhang1, Dongdong Shi1, Wei Yang2
1School of Transportation and Logistics, National Engineering Laboratory of Integrated Transportation Big Data Application Technology, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, People's Republic of China.
Accident; analysis and prevention
|January 6, 2026
概括
这项研究引入了一种以安全为中心的方法,用于控制地铁枢纽拥挤,使用微观模拟和动态门延迟来控制. 这种方法有效地稳定了人群危险,并提高了乘客的整体安全和服务效率.
科学领域:
- 运输工程 运输工程
- 城市规划 城市规划
- 公共安全公共安全.
背景情况:
- 地铁枢纽面临着严重的安全风险,因为大量的乘客涌入.
- 现有的客流控制方法主要集中在宏观的,以服务为导向的方法上,忽视了微观的人群风险减轻.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个以安全为导向的乘客流量控制方法,用于地铁枢纽,使用显微的行人模拟模型.
- 引入一个动态的入口门票服务时间延迟策略,以减轻拥挤风险.
- 为了实现群众管理,在随机环境中实现实时决策.
主要方法:
- 开发一个双层的微观行人模拟模型 (战术和操作层).
- 实施社会力量模型 (SFM) 用于行人运动模拟.
- 将模型预测控制 (MPC) 与卡尔曼过器集成为动态门服务时间延迟策略.
- 将人群危险定义为基于行人动态的控制目标.
主要成果:
- 拟议的方法有效地稳定了人群危险指标在预定义的目标水平周围.
- 增加人群危险参考值会导致人群行为的波动加剧.
- 这种方法提高了平台服务水平以及车站大厅的安全性.
结论:
- 以安全为导向的微观方法对地铁枢纽的乘客流量控制是有效的.
- 优化人群危险参考值对于稳定的控制至关重要.
- 该战略提高了安全性和服务效率,适用于更广泛的客流管理.
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