预测煤矿地区的碳储存变化:基于PIM-PLUS-INVEST模型的遥感方法
Xiaotong Wang1, Yusheng Liang2, Yulong Geng3
1College of Humanities and Urban-Rural Development, Beijing University of Agriculture, Beijing, 102206, China.
Scientific reports
|January 7, 2026
概括
山东省的煤炭开采造成了大量的碳储存损失,但土地回收可以回收60%以上. 这种损失的主要驱动因素是耕地转化为水体,这凸显了可持续土地管理的必要性.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
背景情况:
- 煤炭开采严重扰乱生态系统,并影响区域碳池.
- 评估采矿对碳库存的影响对于减缓气候变化和实现碳中和目标至关重要.
- 现有的研究往往忽视了地表干扰对土地利用变化预测和回收利用碳恢复潜力的影响.
研究的目的:
- 构建一个模型框架 (PIM-PLUS-INVEST) 来评估煤炭开采和土地回收对碳储存的影响.
- 量化分析山东省51个煤矿的碳储存变化.
- 为生态恢复责任和矿区的可持续土地管理提供科学参考.
主要方法:
- 开发了PIM-PLUS-INVEST模型框架.
- 对碳储存变化进行了定量分析.
- 评估土地利用变化 (耕地到水体) 对碳储存的影响.
主要成果:
- 山东的煤炭开采导致估计有861,073.81Mg的碳储存损失.
- 土地回收成功地回收了由于采矿而丢失的62.12%的碳储存.
- 将耕地转化为水体被确定为减少碳储存的主要原因.
- 在不同的采矿区中观察到碳储存中断的显著变化,济宁市的中断幅度最高.
结论:
- 煤炭开采严重破坏了区域碳储存,需要有效的回收战略.
- 土地回收在恢复生态功能和减轻碳损失方面发挥着至关重要的作用.
- 这项研究提供了一种定量框架,以解决采矿产生的"生态债务",并为可持续的土地管理实践提供信息.
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