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黎巴嫩青少年死亡率 (2017-2022):趋势,原因和政策影响
Cyrine Naja1, Samar Al-Hajj1, Carine Sakr2
1Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon.
Public health in practice (Oxford, England)
|January 8, 2026
概括
黎巴嫩年轻人 (10-24岁) 的死亡率很高,原因是可预防的外部和循环原因. 调查结果突出了男性的显著过剩和区域差异,为有针对性的公共卫生干预提供了信息.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
背景情况:
- 青少年和年轻成年人 (10-24岁) 面临可预防死亡的高风险.
- 对于黎巴嫩这个人口群体,国家一级的死亡数据有限.
- 了解特定原因死亡率模式对于公共卫生规划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析2017-2022年黎巴嫩青年 (10-24岁) 性别,年龄和地区特定的死亡率模式.
- 评估这个年龄组因特定原因死亡率的时间趋势.
- 为了确定死亡率的关键驱动因素,开发有针对性的干预措施.
主要方法:
- 来自黎巴嫩公共卫生部 (MoPH) 的全国人口水平分析死亡率数据.
- 使用ICD-10编码的死亡原因,并分为12个类别.
- 年龄标准化死亡率 (ASMR) 用世卫组织标准人口计算;Poisson回归用于时间趋势分析.
主要成果:
- 总共记录了2776例死亡,总体ASMR为每10万人的185.2.
- 外部原因 (64.8/100,000) 是主要原因,其次是循环系统疾病和瘤.
- 男性死亡率 (243.1/100,000) 显著高于女性死亡率 (114.7/100,000),特别是由于外部原因 (RR=3.80).
- 观察到区域差异,北黎巴嫩和贝卡亚地区的外部死亡率最高,贝卡亚地区的循环死亡率最高.
结论:
- 可预防的外部和循环原因是黎巴嫩青年死亡的主要驱动因素.
- 在死亡模式中发现了明显的男性过剩和显著的区域差异.
- 调查结果支持需要基于证据的干预措施,包括针对高风险群体和地区量身定制的伤害预防和心血管战略.
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