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人力资本,数字化转型和碳排放:研究可持续和以人为中心的未来的非线性动态
Leena Ajit Kaushal1, Ashish Dwivedi2
1Management Development Institute Gurgaon, India.
Journal of environmental management
|January 11, 2026
概括
数字化和人力资本 (HC) 对发展中国家的碳排放产生U型影响. 它们之间的协同效应目前尚未实现,突出显示需要综合绿色增长战略.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
- 数字化转型 数字化转型
背景情况:
- 数字化和人力资本 (HC) 对于经济转型至关重要,但它们的环境影响,特别是非线性影响,在发展中国家经济体中未得到充分研究.
- 当前的研究往往检查线性或单独的影响,错过了可持续发展的关键相互作用.
研究的目的:
- 调查数字化和HC对23个发展中国家 (2000-2023) 碳排放的非线性和交互性影响.
- 使用主要组件分析 (PCA) 构建一个多维数字化索引.
- 应用一个动态系统的通用时刻方法 (GMM) 估计器来解决内源性和反问题.
主要方法:
- 通过PCA构建一个多维数字化指数,包括数字基础设施,工业化和创新.
- 应用动态系统GMM估计器来分析23个发展中国家 (2000-2023) 的数据.
- 对碳排放的非线性和交互性影响的检查.
主要成果:
- 数字化和HC都显示出与碳排放的U形关系,最初减少然后增加碳排放.
- 数字化和HC的早期阶段提高了效率和意识,而高级阶段由于能源密集型发展而增加了排放.
- 数字化和HC对碳排放的相互作用效应被发现是微不足道的.
结论:
- 发展中国家在数字化和HC之间没有实现的协同效应,以获得环境效益.
- 政策应侧重于将数字化转型与可再生能源,绿色技能和为低碳增长提供机构协调的整合.
- 该研究为了解环境经济学中的数字和HC动态提供了一个非线性框架.
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