基于马克森特模型的中国藏族河马的潜在分布模式和生态适应性分析
Tao Ma1, Dan Yong2, Danping Xu2
1College of Life and Environment Sciences HuangShan University Huangshan China.
Ecology and evolution
|January 12, 2026
概括
这项研究使用气候模型预测了西藏海 (Hippophae tibetana) 适合的息地. 结果显示,由于气候变化,息地可能向东北扩张,但极端情景可能会带来风险.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 生物地理学是生物地理学.
- 气候变化的影响 气候变化的影响
背景情况:
- 西藏 (Hippophae tibetana) 是一种有价值的植物,具有食用,药用和生态恢复用途.
- 了解其息地分布对于保护和利用至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 在气候变化场景下预测Hippophae tibetana目前和未来的适合息地.
- 确定影响其分布的关键环境因素.
主要方法:
- 使用MaxEnt模型来预测息地适合性.
- 使用了当前和未来的气候场景 (2050年代,2070年代).
主要成果:
- 关键的环境因素包括海拔,年降水变化和平均年温度波动.
- 目前适宜的息地面积约为157.62×10^4平方公里,集中在青海,甘,四川和西藏.
- 预计未来的气候变化将导致适合息地的东北扩张,特别是在高海拔和西北地区.
结论:
- 气候变化可能会导致Hippophae tibetana的息地扩张,但极端情况可能会对其生长产生负面影响.
- 建议采取适应性管理策略,以考虑气候变化影响的可持续发展.
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