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释放透明和可重复使用的科学对气候风险管理的好处
Adam B Pollack1,2, Lisa Auermuller3, Casey D Burleyson4
1Thayer School of Engineering, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH 03755.
概括
气候风险信息至关重要,但由于数据缺口,通常不可靠. 提高科学研究的透明度和可重复使用性是建立信任和支持有效气候风险管理的关键.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 风险管理 风险管理
背景情况:
- 全球对气候风险信息的需求影响住房,金融和联邦资金方面的决策.
- 数据的限制和验证问题挑战了气候风险预测的可靠性.
- 透明度和可重复使用性原则对于对方法进行审查和确保一致的评估至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估气候风险研究中透明度和可重复使用性的现状.
- 确定可行的步骤,以改善科学界的数据和代码共享.
- 倡导增加投资和合作,以加强气候风险管理.
主要方法:
- 分析高度引用的,同行评审的气候风险研究中的数据和代码共享实践.
- 审查与气候风险服务透明度相关的现有原则和挑战.
- 确定低成本措施和必要的投资,以取得进展.
主要成果:
- 透明度原则和实际的研究实践之间存在很大的差距.
- 只有4%的顶级气候风险研究完全共享其数据和代码,不足以达到最低标准.
- 预计非商业参与者将在实现透明度和可重复使用性方面发挥领导作用.
结论:
- 立即,低成本的措施可以提高气候风险研究的透明度和可重复使用性.
- 转型进步需要大量投资,跨部门合作,并关注公平.
- 提高科学透明度对于有效的,基于证据的气候风险管理至关重要.
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