防止与枪支有关的死亡和公共利益:加利福尼亚州的一项附带估值研究
Nicole Kravitz-Wirtz1, Julia J Lund1, Amanda J Aubel1
1Centers for Violence Prevention, Department of Emergency Medicine, University of California Davis, 4301 X St., Sacramento, CA 95817, United States.
Health affairs scholar
|January 15, 2026
概括
加利福尼亚州人表现出相当大的愿意为枪支伤害预防支付费用. 对于减少枪支死亡,包括杀人和自杀的投资的公众需求是显著的.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
- 伤害预防 预防伤害
背景情况:
- 与枪支相关的伤害给社会带来了巨大的社会成本.
- 关于公共评估枪支伤害预防益处的数据有限.
研究的目的:
- 量化公共支付意愿 (WTP) 以防止枪支杀人,自杀和大规模枪击死亡.
- 为了评估公众对减少枪支伤害的经济价值.
主要方法:
- 对加利福尼亚成年人的调查 (N=2870) 使用Ipsos知识面板.
- 附带估值方法采用双边分类选择模型.
- 用于WTP计算的逻辑逻辑错误分布.
主要成果:
- 平均年度WTP从85.16美元 (用于预防自杀的捐款) 到145.63美元 (用于预防大规模枪击死亡的税收) 之间.
- 枪支所有者普遍显示WTP低于非所有者,黑人枪支所有者报告WTP最高.
- 三种伤害类型的最大平均WTP为508.08美元 (捐款) 或534.82美元 (税收),意味着全州的福利高达69亿美元.
结论:
- 调查结果突出了公众对增加投资减少枪支伤害的大量需求.
- 公共估值支持资源分配用于预防,干预和支持性服务.
- 经济估值为有关枪支伤害预防工作的政策决策提供了基础.
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