温度与炎症性肠病的全球发病率之间的关联
Dingwei Liu1, Qingting Lu1, Jiasheng Fang1
1Department of Gastroenterology, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases, Jiangxi Clinical Research Center for Gastroenterology, Digestive Disease Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
全球温度变化与炎症性肠病 (IBD) 风险增加有关. 较高的排放场景预测到2100年IBD发病率将增加得更快,突出显示气候变化对慢性疾病的影响.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 对气候变化和炎症性肠病 (IBD) 的全球发病率越来越感兴趣.
- 长期温度变化与全球IBD发病率之间的关系尚不清楚.
研究的目的:
- 调查全球温度变化与IBD发病率之间的关联.
- 在不同的气候变化场景下预测未来IBD发病率.
主要方法:
- 利用全球疾病负担 (GBD) 数据 (1990-2021) 来确定IBD的年龄标准化发病率 (ASIR).
- 使用平均值和最大变化率定义的温度变化指数.
- 在SSP场景下使用的一般线性混合效应回归和预测的未来变化 (126-585).
主要成果:
- 从1990年到2021年,最大温度变化增加了三倍.
- 最大温度变化增加1°C与IBD风险增加12.1%相关.
- 高排放场景 (SSP 585) 预测到2100年IBD发病率的增加速度将是低排放场景 (SSP 126) 的四倍.
结论:
- 全球温度变化与IBD发病率之间存在关联.
- 需要对机制进行进一步的研究.
- 在慢性疾病预防战略中必须考虑气候变化.
相关概念视频
Inflammatory Bowel Disease II: Crohn's Disease
Inflammatory bowel disease, commonly known as IBD, refers to a collection of disorders that lead to persistent inflammation of the gastrointestinal tract. The two types of IBD are ulcerative colitis, which impacts the colon, and Crohn's disease, which can involve any part of the gastrointestinal segment.
Crohn's disease
Crohn's disease is a chronic, systemic inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) that predominantly affects the gastrointestinal tract. It is marked by...
Inflammatory Bowel Disease I: Ulcerative Colitis
Inflammatory bowel disease, or IBD, encompasses a group of disorders characterized by chronic inflammation or ulceration of the gastrointestinal tract.
Risk Factors
The exact cause of IBD remains unclear, although it is believed to be due to a mix of genetic, environmental, microbial, and immune factors. Genetic factors are significant in determining susceptibility to IBD, with family history being a critical risk factor. Individuals with a first-degree relative who has IBD are at...
Chronic Bowel Disorders: Introduction
Irritable Bowel Syndrome (IBS) is a common disorder affecting the gastrointestinal tract. The distinctive feature is recurrent abdominal pain associated with altered bowel movements, manifesting as constipation, diarrhea, or fluctuating between both. The...
Irritable Bowel Syndrome I: Introduction
IBS is a chronic condition that can persist over a long period or recur frequently.
The pathogenesis of IBS involves a complex interplay of the following factors:
Altered...
Inflammatory Bowel Disease III: Diagnostic Studies and Management I-Nutritional Therapy
Diagnostic studies
A colonoscopy is the definitive screening test, distinguishing ulcerative colitis from other colon diseases with similar symptoms. During a colonoscopy test, inflamed mucosa with exudate ulcerations can be observed, and biopsies are taken to determine the histologic characteristics of the...
Drugs for Treatment of Crohn's Disease in IBD Using Biologic Agents: Anti-TNF


