概括
全球神经康复需求因人口老龄化和人口增长而增加,影响全球数百万人. 预测显示持续增长,强调迫切需要扩大服务,特别是在低收入和中等收入国家.
科学领域:
- 全球卫生流行病学
- 神经康复研究 神经康复研究
- 关于残疾人的研究.
背景情况:
- 神经系统疾病是一个重大的全球健康挑战,导致广泛的残疾.
- 了解目前和未来对神经康复的需求对于公共卫生规划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析全球神经康复需求,并预测2022年至2036年的趋势.
- 确定影响神经系统疾病负担的关键驱动因素和人口因素,需要康复.
主要方法:
- 使用的世界卫生组织康复需要估计器数据用于患病率和残疾人生活年数 (YLDs).
- 通过贝叶斯年龄期队列分析 (BAPC) 分析了使用估计年度百分比变化 (EAPC) 的趋势,并通过贝叶斯年龄期队列分析 (BAPC) 预测未来需求.
- 进行了分解分析,以确定神经康复需求的驱动因素.
主要成果:
- 在2021年,有2.2538亿人患有需要康复的神经系统疾病,为52.35亿年轻人提供了贡献.
- 从1990年到2021年,神经康复需求显著增加 (97.5%的病例,96.4%的YLD),预计到2036年持续增长.
- 人口增长和老龄化是主要的驱动因素;中风,脑和阿尔茨海默氏症/痴呆症是主要的贡献者,在LMICs中负担很高.
结论:
- 需要康复的神经系统疾病的全球负担是相当大的,并且在不断增长,主要是由于人口结构的变化.
- 加强和将神经康复服务纳入初级医疗保健是非常必要的,特别是在低收入和中等收入国家.
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