人工智能-碳-能源:互联市场的溢出效应和驱动因素
Mingming Zhang1, Yue Pan1, Bin Su2,3
1College of Economics and Management, China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao 266580, China.
iScience
|January 22, 2026
概括
人工智能,碳和能源市场之间存在显著的溢出效应. 人工智能和新能源市场传递风险,而碳市场始终接受风险,随着时间的推移,影响会变化.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 技术 技术 技术 技术 技术
背景情况:
- 金融市场越来越相互联系.
- 了解人工智能等新兴市场与能源和碳等成熟市场之间的风险传播至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查人工智能,碳和能源市场之间的溢出效应.
- 确定影响这些溢出动态的宏观和微观因素.
- 分析时间变化的风险传播模式.
主要方法:
- 时间变化的参数向量自回归 (TVP-VAR) 模型.
- 多变量量子到量子回归 (MM-QQ) 模型.
主要成果:
- 在这三个市场都发现了显著的溢出效应.
- 人工智能和新能源市场是回报和波动的关键风险传递器.
- 传统的能源市场 (天然气除外) 传递着倾斜和曲率的风险.
- 碳市场始终是一个净风险接收者.
- 溢出效应表现出时间变化的动态,对回报/所有权产生短期影响,对波动性/kurtosis产生长期影响.
结论:
- 人工智能,碳和能源市场的相互联系呈现出复杂的风险动态.
- 地缘政治风险,经济政策的不确定性,气候风险,人工智能的进步和投资者的关注影响了这些溢出效应.
- 动态分析对于理解市场相互依存是必不可少的.
相关概念视频
Effects of Temperature on Free Energy
28.0K
The spontaneity of a process depends upon the temperature of the system. Phase transitions, for example, will proceed spontaneously in one direction or the other depending upon the temperature of the substance in question. Likewise, some chemical reactions can also exhibit temperature-dependent spontaneities. To illustrate this concept, the equation relating free energy change to the enthalpy and entropy changes for the process is considered:
28.0K
The Carbon Cycle
43.3K
Carbon is the basis of all organic matter on Earth, and is recycled through the ecosystem in two primary processes: one in which carbon is exchanged among living organisms, and one in which carbon is cycled over long periods of time through fossilized organic remains, weathering of rocks, and volcanic activity. Human activities, including increased agricultural practices and the burning of fossil fuels, has greatly affected the balance of the natural carbon cycle.
43.3K
Free Energy
51.8K
Free energy—abbreviated as G for the scientist Gibbs who discovered it—is a measurement of useful energy that can be extracted from a reaction to do work. It is the energy in a chemical reaction that is available after entropy is accounted for. Reactions that take in energy are considered endergonic and reactions that release energy are exergonic. Plants carry out endergonic reactions by taking in sunlight and carbon dioxide to produce glucose and oxygen. Animals, in turn, break...
51.8K
Internal Energy
36.6K
The total of all possible kinds of energy present in a substance is called the internal energy (U), sometimes symbolized as E. Suppose a system with initial internal energy, Uinitial, undergoes a change in energy (transfer of work or heat), and the final internal energy of the system is Ufinal. Change in internal energy equals the difference between Ufinal and Uinitial.
36.6K
Potential Energy
42.4K
The energy stored by a structure and location of matter in space is called potential energy. For instance, raising a kettlebell changes its spatial location and increases its potential energy. Similarly, a stretched rubber band contains potential energy which, under certain conditions, can be converted into other forms of energy, such as kinetic energy.
Chemical bonds that form attractive forces between atoms also contain potential energy, called chemical energy. When a chemical reaction...
Chemical bonds that form attractive forces between atoms also contain potential energy, called chemical energy. When a chemical reaction...
42.4K
Energy Basics
47.3K
Chemical reactions, such as those that occur when you light a match, involve changes in energy as well as matter.
47.3K


