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Updated: Jan 24, 2026

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城市扩张驱动因素和中国南宁的土地使用场景模拟,使用PLUS模型
Yun-Chuan Yang1,2,3,4, Xiao-Han Huang1,2,3,4, Jiao-Yin Wei1,2,3,4
1State Key Laboratory of Featured Metal Materials and Life-cycle Safety for Composite Structures, Guangxi University, Nanning, China.
Science progress
|January 23, 2026
概括
中国中国中国中国.
科学领域:
- 城市规划与环境科学
- 生态弹性研究 生态弹性研究
背景情况:
- 中国城市的快速城市化和环境变化导致水循环中断,洪水和生态不平衡.
- 中国的海绵城市倡议 (2013年启动,到2020年全面实施) 旨在应对这些城市环境挑战.
研究的目的:
- 分析1990年至2020年南宁市的土地使用变化,驱动力和未来场景.
- 建立一个历史-机制-情景框架,以支持城市规划和生态弹性.
主要方法:
- 利用了跨越1990-2020年南宁市的多源数据.
- 采用了产生补丁的土地使用模拟 (PLUS) 模型来检查土地使用动态.
主要成果:
- 建筑用地扩大了5.62倍,主要是东部和东南部平坦地区.
- 耕地和林地是土地利用变化的主要来源,分别贡献了89.13%和7.65%.
- 数字高度模型,坡度和运输基础设施被确定为土地利用变化的关键驱动因素.
结论:
- 生态保护政策有效地限制了城市扩张,促进了森林和草原的生长.
- 该研究提供了一个框架,以加强南宁的城市规划和生态弹性.
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