青少年携带手枪的趋势和风险和促销相关的变化根据性别和乡村地区从全国代表性调查中得出的数据
Elyse J Thulin1, Heather Hartman1, Zainab Hans1
1University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, USA.
Journal of interpersonal violence
|January 24, 2026
概括
青少年携带枪支的情况因性别和农村不同而有所不同. 反社会行为强烈预测女性,特别是城市地区的运输,而成年人的鼓励提供了保护.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 青少年心理学 青少年心理学
背景情况:
- 携带枪支是青少年受伤和暴力的重要风险因素.
- 了解社会身份和社会人口统计特征的运输差异机制对于有针对性的干预至关重要.
- 农村和性别的交集需要针对量身定制的预防策略进行具体审查.
研究的目的:
- 检查影响青少年携带枪支的风险和保护因素.
- 调查性别和农村地区的不同运输机制.
- 为减少与枪支相关的风险提供量身定制的预防和干预策略.
主要方法:
- 利用了12-17岁青少年国家药物使用和健康调查 (2015-2019) 的数据.
- 采用双变量和多变量Poisson模型来估计因素和手枪携带之间的关联.
- 进行了权重分析,考虑了调查设计,按性别和农村地区分层.
主要成果:
- 青少年男性 (6.74%) 报告去年持枪率高于女性 (2.14%),农村地区的比例更高.
- 对男女来说,反社会行为是最强的预测因素,对女性的影响不成比例 (2.5倍).
- 成年人的鼓励对女性来说是保护性的,特别是在城市和农村环境中,但不是小城市环境.
结论:
- 携带枪支的危险因素,特别是反社会行为,对青少年女性的影响更大.
- 干预措施应考虑反社会行为对女性的影响增加及其与城市/农村环境的相互作用.
- 识别枪支携带的早期前体是制定有效,量身定制的预防策略的必要条件.
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