根据专家共识的模糊性,强有力的共识是即兴紧急供应商选择的顺序优先级方法.
1School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.
Scientific reports
|January 26, 2026
概括
紧急情况需要快速选择供应商. 一种新的强有力的共识顺序优先级方法 (OPA-RC) 提供了一种透明,高效的方法来选择紧急供应商,即使有不确定的专家意见.
科学领域:
- 运营研究 运营研究
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
- 供应链管理 供应链管理
背景情况:
- 临时应急供应商选择 (IESS) 是一个复杂的多属性决策 (MADM) 问题,由于固有的不确定性和紧迫性.
- 现有的IESS方法与主观的专家权重,不确定的意见和高的计算成本作斗争,限制了现实世界的应用.
研究的目的:
- 为IESS引入一种新的强有力的共识顺序优先方法 (OPA-RC).
- 通过提供客观的重量导出和强大的优化来克服现有方法的局限性.
主要方法:
- OPA-RC客观地通过对对排名一致性来获得专家重要性得分.
- 一个强大的优化框架将这些分数通过基于预算的模糊性设置来处理分数模糊性.
- 该模型被重新定义为一个计算效率高的线性程序,具有封闭形式的解决方案.
主要成果:
- 通过基于场景的实验,包括结果,敏感性和比较分析,OPA-RC证明了它的有效性.
- 这种方法客观地获得了专家的重要性,减轻了主观性.
- 该方法提供了一个计算效率高,强大的决策支持工具.
结论:
- OPA-RC为IESS提供了一个透明,稳固和计算效率高的解决方案.
- 该方法可以在关键的灾难场景中进行可靠和有弹性的供应商选择.
- 这种方法提高了在紧急物流中不确定性下的决策.
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