感知新能源的不可预测性 电力和电力消耗预测
Lin Zhao1, Jian Dong1, Ruojing Chen1
1Institute of Economics and Technology of State Grid Liaoning Electric Power Co., Ltd., Shenyang 110006, China.
Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)
|January 28, 2026
概括
这项研究引入了不可预测性感知损失,以改善传感器网络数据预测. 它动态调整监管以更好地预测未来事件,增强关键基础设施的稳定性.
科学领域:
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
- 机器学习 机器学习
- 信号处理 信号处理
背景情况:
- 准确的传感器网络数据预测对于电力系统和交通规划至关重要.
- 当前的深度学习模型假定统一的可预测性,忽视时间距离和信号随机性.
- 这种统一的方法可能会阻碍在传感器数据中学习可概括的模式.
研究的目的:
- 开发一种新的损失函数,解释预测任务的内在不可预测性.
- 提高传感器网络数据预测模型的准确性和可靠性.
- 提高关键基础设施的稳定性和城市运营效率.
主要方法:
- 引入了一个不可预测性感知损失函数,具有动态计算的监督权重.
- 统一了不可预测性的两个维度:信号随机性 (局部光谱) 和时间距离 (指数衰变).
- 为实验验证,将拟议的损失函数应用于TimeMixer模型.
主要成果:
- 不可预测性感知损失在多个公共基准数据集上显示了性能改进.
- 减少对随机信号段和遥远未来点的监督.
- 通过将监督与信号可预测性相匹配,提高了传感器网络数据的预测准确度.
结论:
- 无法预测感知损失功能为关键基础设施稳定提供了更可靠的技术基础.
- 改进的预测准确性支持增强的电网稳定性和优化城市交通系统.
- 这种方法为复杂领域的时间序列预测提供了更强大的深度学习方法.
相关概念视频
Electrical Power
3.8K
Electric power is the product of current and voltage, represented in units of joules per second, or watts. For example, cars often have one or more auxiliary power outlets with which you can charge a cell phone or other electronic devices. These outlets may be rated at 20 amps and 12 volts, so that the circuit can deliver a maximum power of 240 watts. Consider a 25 Watt bulb and a 60 Watt bulb. The conversion of electrical energy produces heat and light, while the kinetic energy lost by the...
3.8K
Power and Energy
2.0K
The power and energy delivered to an element are subjects of great significance in the field of electrical engineering. It is a well-known fact that a 100-watt light bulb emits more light than a 60-watt one. Therefore, power and energy calculations play a crucial role in the analysis of electrical circuits.
Power, defined as the time rate of expending or absorbing energy, is quantified in units called watts (W). The relation between power and energy is mathematically given as
Power, defined as the time rate of expending or absorbing energy, is quantified in units called watts (W). The relation between power and energy is mathematically given as
2.0K
Nuclear Power
9.5K
Controlled nuclear fission reactions are used to generate electricity. Any nuclear reactor that produces power via the fission of uranium or plutonium by bombardment with neutrons has six components: nuclear fuel consisting of fissionable material, a nuclear moderator, a neutron source, control rods, reactor coolant, and a shield and containment system.
Nuclear Fuels
Nuclear fuel consists of a fissile isotope, such as uranium-235, which must be present in sufficient quantity to provide a...
Nuclear Fuels
Nuclear fuel consists of a fissile isotope, such as uranium-235, which must be present in sufficient quantity to provide a...
9.5K
Electrical Energy
1.8K
Using electric appliances for a longer period of time consumes more electrical energy and results in a higher electric bill. The energy produced by the transfer of electrons from one point to another is known as electrical energy. If power is delivered at a constant rate, the electrical energy can be defined as the product of power used by the device for a period of time. The energy unit on electric bills is the kilowatt-hour, where one kilowatt-hour is equivalent to 3.6 × 106 joules.
1.8K
Energy and Power Signals
1.2K
In an electrical system with a resistor, voltage and current signals facilitate the measurement of power and energy across the resistor. For a continuous-time signal, the total energy over a time interval is defined as the integral of the square of the signal's magnitude over that interval. Mathematically, this is expressed as:
1.2K
Energy and Power of a Wave
4.9K
The total energy associated with a wavelength is the sum of the potential energy and the kinetic energy. The average rate of energy transfer associated with a wave is called its power, which is total energy divided by the time it takes to transfer the energy. For a sinusoidal wave, energy and power are proportional to the square of both the amplitude and the angular frequency.
Waves can also be concentrated or spread out, as characterized by the intensity of the wave. Intensity is directly...
Waves can also be concentrated or spread out, as characterized by the intensity of the wave. Intensity is directly...
4.9K


