社会经济回归公民身份:一个随机对照试验
Jens Hainmueller1,2, Elisa Cascardi2, Michael Hotard2
1Department of Political Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305.
概括
公民身份似乎并没有促进移民的经济或融入成果. 然而,获得公民身份显著减少了对驱逐出境的恐惧,突出了关键的非经济利益.
科学领域:
- 移民的社会经济影响.
- 公共政策和移民融合
- 在社会科学中的随机对照试验.
背景情况:
- 传统智慧和观察研究表明,公民身份赋予经济优势.
- 移民入籍是整合的一个关键方面.
- 选择偏见可能会混关于公民福利的观察结果.
研究的目的:
- 通过实验评估获得美国公民身份的经济和非经济影响.
- 评估入籍对移民融入和财务福祉的影响.
- 解决先前研究中选择偏差的可能性.
主要方法:
- 纽约的一项随机对照试验 (RCT) 为符合条件的永久居民提供了入籍费用券.
- 优惠券的受益者在入籍率上增加了36个百分点.
- 经济结果 (收入,信贷,就业) 和一个多维整合指数被测量.
主要成果:
- 没有发现公民身份对收入,信用评分,获得信贷,经济困难或就业产生统计学意义上的影响.
- 公民身份并没有在多维移民整合指数上的得分得到可衡量的改善.
- 公民身份显著减少了移民对驱逐出境的恐惧.
结论:
- 随机获得公民身份不会带来预期的经济或整合效益,这挑战了先前的观察结果.
- 在研究中观察到的公民身份的积极选择表明,观察研究可能会夸大自我选择带来的好处.
- 减少驱逐出境的恐惧是公民身份的一个重要,尽管非经济的好处.
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