根据确定的和不确定的可持续性因素进行适应性盆地管理
Anirudh Sharma1, Ajit Pratap Singh1, Srinivas Rallapalli2
1Department of Civil Engineering, Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani, Pilani Campus, Vidya Vihar, Pilani, Rajasthan, India.
Environmental management
|January 30, 2026
概括
适应性流域管理是复杂的. 一个新的混合系统结合了间隔估值的模糊混合SWOT (IVFH-SWOT) 和弹性指标的模糊评估 (FERM),有效地优先考虑不确定性下的可持续管理策略.
科学领域:
- 环境科学与环境管理
- 水资源工程水资源工程
- 决策分析 决策分析
背景情况:
- 适应性流域管理由于气候变化和人类活动而面临复杂性.
- 传统的SWOT分析很难量化适应性管理中的不确定性.
- 对于可持续的河流流域管理,需要强大的决策支持系统.
研究的目的:
- 为适应性流域管理引入混合决策支持系统.
- 将区间估值模糊混合SWOT (IVFH-SWOT) 分析与弹性指标的模糊评估 (FERM) 结合起来.
- 评估和优先考虑适应性可持续性的战略选择.
主要方法:
- 开发一个混合决策支持系统,整合IVFH-SWOT和FERM.
- 在四个适应性可持续性方面评估了11个战略选择.
- 通过多利益相关者分析来确定战略的优先级.
主要成果:
- 混合系统有效评估了适应性流域管理的战略选择.
- 确定的主要战略包括大运营法规,废水基础设施处理和水电开发.
- 调查结果突出了在不确定性下弹性和可持续性之间的权衡.
结论:
- 拟议的框架为适应性可持续流域管理提供了一个强大的工具.
- 混合系统解决了在不确定的环境中传统SWOT分析的局限性.
- 该框架可用于从业人员和参与水资源管理的政策制定者.
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