影响小农对厄立特里亚气候变化看法的因素
Tesfai Tsegai Kidane1, Edward Lahiff2, Trevor Donnellan3
1Department of Food Business and Development, Cork University Business School, University College Cork, Cork, Ireland. tesfie377@gmail.com.
Environmental management
|January 30, 2026
概括
厄立特里亚的小农通过季节变化,不规律的降雨和气温上升来感受到气候变化. 扩展服务,教育和媒体曝光对他们的气候变化感知和适应战略产生积极影响.
科学领域:
- 农业适应性和恢复力
- 气候变化感知研究 气候变化感知研究
- 农业中的社会经济因素
背景情况:
- 了解小型农民对气候变化的看法对于有效的适应战略至关重要.
- 气候变化的影响需要农业系统采取积极的适应措施.
- 私人积极适应气候变化的模型 (MPPACC) 提供了一个分析农民应对措施的框架.
研究的目的:
- 在厄立特里亚的小规模奶农中开发和验证气候变化感知,威胁评估和应对评估指数.
- 确定影响这些评估的社会经济和环境因素.
- 检查感知,威胁评估和应对评估之间的相互关系.
主要方法:
- 埃里特里亚261个小农奶牛农的调查数据.
- 应用私人积极适应气候变化 (MPPACC) 模式.
- 使用克朗巴赫的α和主要轴因子推算的构造的验证.
- 基于回归的并行调解分析与引导.
主要成果:
- 高比例的农民将气候变化与季节变化 (93%),不规律的降雨 (76%) 和气温上升 (88%) 联系起来.
- 感知得分与推广服务,教育和媒体曝光有积极的关联,与更高的高度有负面关联.
- 威胁评估,而不是应对评估,调解了媒体暴露,热应激和年龄/经验相互作用对适应感知的影响.
结论:
- 机构支持,教育和沟通显著塑造了小农农民对气候变化的看法.
- MPPACC框架有效地整合了社会经济和认知因素,以了解农民的适应.
- 调查结果为提高厄立特里亚和类似农业环境中的小农农民抵御能力提供了洞察力.
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