定义用于估计全球酒精消费负担的暴露:使用东盟国家作为案例研究的世卫组织方法论的可信性测试
Jürgen Rehm1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8, Gianna Gayle H Amul9,10, Sawitri Assanangkornchai11
1Institute for Mental Health Policy Research, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health (CAMH), 250 College Street, Toronto, M5T 1R8, Ontario, Canada. jtrehm@gmail.com.
Substance abuse treatment, prevention, and policy
|January 31, 2026
概括
这项研究发现,世界卫生组织 (WHO) 对东盟国家的酒精消费数据存在潜在偏差. 这些酒精政策指标的可信性测试对于准确的全球健康评估至关重要.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 酒精政策研究 酒精政策研究
背景情况:
- 比较风险评估 (CRAs) 为全球的酒精控制政策提供了信息.
- 世界卫生组织 (WHO) 采用标准化方法来控制饮酒 CRAs.
- 本研究调查了东盟成员国在世卫组织方法论中的潜在偏见.
研究的目的:
- 检查世卫组织在CRA中计算酒精暴露值的方法中的潜在偏差.
- 用东盟国家的案例研究来评估世卫组织标准化方法的准确性.
- 识别和理解酒精消费指标中不可思议数据的来源.
主要方法:
- 利用来自10个东盟成员国 (2000-2022) 的大量人口调查来完善世卫组织的数据.
- 使用世卫组织的方法创建了关键指标,并进行了可信性检查,重点关注饮酒者平均饮酒量.
- 进行了敏感性分析,并与欧盟 (EU) 和东非共同体 (EAC) 进行了比较.
主要成果:
- 确定了老民主共和国,泰国和越南不可思议的高平均酒精消费值.
- 模拟表明了偏见,可能与自我报告的酒精戒断或未记录的酒精数据有关.
- 在欧盟也发现了一些不可思议的值,尽管在较小程度上.
结论:
- 对关键监测指标的可信性测试对于改善全球健康数据至关重要.
- 这些发现凸显了对酒精消费监测的方法改进的需要.
- 准确的数据对于有效的酒精控制政策至关重要.
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