从食物流到因果作用:挪威海和巴伦茨海的海洋哺乳动物与鱼类的相互作用
Benjamin Planque1, Ulf Lindstrøm2,3, John-André Henden2
1Ecosystem Processes, Institute of Marine Research, Tromsø, Norway.
Proceedings. Biological sciences
|February 3, 2026
概括
海洋哺乳动物对鱼类生物量产生负面影响,而鱼类对鱼类产生轻微的积极影响. 长期生态系统模拟表明这些影响随着时间的推移而减少,有助于北大西洋生态系统管理.
科学领域:
- 海洋生态海洋生态学
- 生态系统动力学 生态系统动力学
- 渔业 科学 渔业 科学
背景情况:
- 海洋哺乳动物和商业鱼类种类共享猎物资源,导致复杂的生态相互作用.
- 这些重叠的食物网中确切的因果关系和影响尚未得到充分理解.
- 数据有限和生态系统的复杂性阻碍了这些跨物种动态的解决.
研究的目的:
- 量化海洋哺乳动物生物质对鱼类生物质的因果作用,反之亦然.
- 分析短期 (1年滞后) 和长期 (30年模拟) 影响.
- 将食物网络建模与因果推理整合在一起,以便进行可靠的生态分析.
主要方法:
- 利用现有的质量平衡线性反向食物网模型来提取食物网动态.
- 将食物网络数据翻译成一个时间显式因果图.
- 采用因果推断技术来量化生物质流动对因果关系的影响.
主要成果:
- 增加的海洋哺乳动物生物量主要会对鱼类生物量产生负面,尽管不确定的影响.
- 增加的鱼类生物质对海洋哺乳动物生物质产生较小的积极影响.
- 长期模拟表明影响减弱,这表明生态系统随着时间的推移进行补偿.
结论:
- 该研究提供了对挪威和巴伦茨海的海洋哺乳动物和鱼类相互作用的因果洞察.
- 这些发现支持更精确,数据驱动和生态合理的管理策略.
- 这种方法提高了对北大西洋渔业和海洋哺乳动物保护工作的理解.
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