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Updated: Feb 5, 2026

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对疫情预测和在具有概率生成函数的网络上传播的敏感性分析

Mariah C Boudreau1,2, William H W Thompson1, Christopher M Danforth1,2

  • 1Vermont Complex Systems Institute, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, USA.

Journal of the Royal Society, Interface
|February 3, 2026
PubMed
概括

使用概率生成函数 (PGF) 进行流行病预测可能对输入数据噪声敏感. 新的方法显示,预测灵敏度取决于疾病传播的一致性和基本繁殖数 (R0).

关键词:
分支过程是分支过程.流行病预测的预测.透的透是一种透.概率生成函数是一个概率生成函数.灵敏度分析是一种灵敏度分析.

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