计划地震后废物处理设施的合作策略:一个有限的理性视角
Qin Yang1,2, Siyi Liu1, Fanshun Zhang3
1School of Business, Sichuan Normal University, Chengdu, 610101, People's Republic of China.
Scientific reports
|February 4, 2026
概括
有效的地震后废物管理需要明确的政府与企业的合作. 这项研究模拟了协作动态,发现它不稳定,但可以通过激励和降低成本来促进.
科学领域:
- 灾害管理 灾害管理
- 环境工程 环境工程
- 游戏理论 游戏理论
背景情况:
- 地震后的废物处理对于重建至关重要.
- 目前政府和企业之间缺乏合作机制.
- 有效的协作影响环境和社会效益.
研究的目的:
- 为政府与企业在地震后废物处理方面的合作开发一个双面的进化游戏模型.
- 分析进化的稳定策略和平衡条件.
- 探索政府监管强度和企业技术选择的影响.
主要方法:
- 制定了一个基于有限理性的双面进化游戏模型.
- 使用复制器动态来分析策略和平衡.
- 整合了前景理论来检查动态相互作用.
- 通过对2008年温chuan地震的案例模拟来验证模型.
主要成果:
- 政府与企业的合作本质上是不稳定的,对协同参数敏感.
- 通过税收优惠,更高的企业收入或更低的政府监管成本来促进合作.
- 企业将资源利用成本与收益和潜在损失进行平衡.
结论:
- 政府与企业在废物管理方面的合作是复杂的,需要仔细的政策设计.
- 激励和成本管理是促进稳定的伙伴关系的关键.
- 社会声望影响决策和合作努力中的损失厌恶.
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