对比风能和太阳能对森林造成的气候反的反应
Zhaorong Zhu1, Pengyi Zhang1, Xiaoting Zhong1
1State Key Laboratory of Soil and Water Conservation and Desertification Control, College of Natural Resources and Environment, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China.
Environmental science & technology
|February 5, 2026
概括
森林化可以显著减少风能潜力27.8%,太阳能潜力1.9%. 这凸显了碳排放减排的森林化与可再生能源之间的关键权衡,以减少气候变化减缓战略中的排放.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 可再生能源系统可再生能源系统
- 环境建模环境建模
背景情况:
- 森林化和可再生能源是减缓气候变化的关键战略.
- 森林植被可以改变土地与大气的相互作用,影响天气模式.
- 这些变化可能会影响可再生能源发电的效率.
研究的目的:
- 量化植树对风能和太阳能潜力的影响.
- 在不同的气候场景下分析这些影响,包括SSP1-2.6.6.
- 突出基于林业的碳排放和可再生能源的部署之间的权衡.
主要方法:
- 使用结合的陆地和大气模拟.
- 模拟了对比的森林分布.
- 评估了对风能和太阳能潜力的影响.
主要成果:
- 理想化的森林化场景显示,风能下降了27.8%,太阳能潜力下降了1.9%.
- 在SSP1-2.6下,森林化驱动的风能减少 (9.5%) 可以超过气候变化影响 (-2.1%).
- 在SSP1-2.6的现有装置中,太阳能主要由气候变化 (+3.9%) 而不是森林化 (+0.3%) 增加.
结论:
- 森林化对可再生能源的可用性产生重大影响,特别是风能.
- 气候缓解途径必须考虑森林化和可再生能源之间的相互作用.
- 通过造林来消除碳排放,与可再生能源减排之间的平衡是必不可少的.
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