关于多妻制的人口潜力的研究笔记:评估与年龄有关的总结指标
1Division of Social Science, New York University Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Demography
|February 6, 2026
概括
多妻制在撒哈拉以南非洲仍然是人口统计学上可行的,其潜力在人口快速增长期间达到顶峰. 这种人口潜力指标,gamma,显示区域差异,与多妻制调查数据相关.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 人口研究 人口研究
背景情况:
- 多妻制,一个婚姻制度,一个男人嫁给多个女人,在撒哈拉以南非洲 (SSA) 普遍存在.
- 它的人口活力,或男性在不排除其他人的婚姻的情况下拥有多妻制的潜力,未被充分探索.
研究的目的:
- 为了评估SSA多妻制的人口生存能力,使用一种新型指标,马.
- 从1950年到2021年分析多妻制人口潜力的历史演变和区域变化.
主要方法:
- 利用联合国世界人口预测2022数据,对48个撒哈拉以南非洲国家进行分析.
- 计算和分析了'马'指标,代表了可以有两个妻子的男性的比例.
- 与人口和健康调查 (DHS) 的多妻制数据相关的马估计.
主要成果:
- 马指标表现出反转的U曲线模式,与人口转型阶段保持一致.
- 多妻制的人口潜力在人口快速增长期间是最高的,最近已经下降,特别是在南南非.
- 马估计与DHS多妻数据呈正相关性,解释了部分地区50-70%的变化.
结论:
- 该研究量化了SSA多妻制的人口潜力,揭示了显著的区域和时间动态.
- 玛作为一个有价值的指标,以了解多妻制的人口可行性及其与人口趋势的关系.
- 未来的研究应该探索其他影响多妻制的因素以及人口潜力.
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