土地利用转型的时空空间动态对珍珠河三角洲的碳排放产生影响
Wei Wang1,2,3, Ying Zhang4,5, Yueming Hu6
1College of Biology and Agriculture, Shaoguan University, Shaoguan, 512005, Guangdong Province, China. gdlucc@sgu.edu.cn.
Scientific reports
|February 6, 2026
概括
中国珍珠河三角洲的土地使用变化导致碳排放量大幅上升187%,主要是由于建筑用地扩张. 区域碳中和需要有针对性的战略.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 地理 地理 地理 地理.
- 城市规划 城市规划
背景情况:
- 对土地利用过渡的时空空间分析对于区域碳中和目标至关重要.
- 了解土地利用变化对碳排放的驱动因素和影响对于可持续发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析2000年至2020年中国珍珠河三角洲 (PRD) 的土地利用转型和碳排放动态.
- 研究土地利用转型对碳排放的时空影响.
- 为空间差异化减排战略提供见解.
主要方法:
- 综合分析框架结合了动态土地利用建模,地理探测器方法 (GDM) 和地理和时间加权回归 (GTWR).
- 对20年土地利用转型模式和碳排放动态的分析.
- 确定影响碳排放的关键驱动因素.
主要成果:
- 建筑用地扩张是占主导地位的土地使用过渡,与不断变化的转换来源.
- 隐性土地利用转型显示了显著的年度增长,通过不同的发展阶段进行进展.
- 区域碳排放量增加了186.96%,空间差异与建筑用地和GDP密度有关.
结论:
- 土地利用转型显著影响大城市集群中的碳排放.
- 建筑用地扩张和经济密度是增加碳排放的主要驱动因素.
- 为了实现区域碳中和,需要空间差异化的减排策略.
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