在法医人类学中使用的概率比率计算的不正确公式:关于Scott & Rogers (2026) 的评论
1Forensic Data Science Laboratory, Aston University, Birmingham, UK; Forensic Evaluation Ltd, Birmingham, UK.
Forensic science international
|February 8, 2026
概括
这封信针对了法医人类学中使用的不正确的概率比率公式,如斯科特和罗杰斯 (2026) 所见. 作者旨在纠正这一错误,并提高法医统计推断的清晰度.
科学领域:
- 法医人类学 法医人类学
- 统计推理 统计推理
背景情况:
- 在法医人类学中推广了概率比率框架.
- 以前的文献,包括斯蒂德曼等人. (2006年) 已经使用了不正确的概率计算公式.
- 斯科特和罗杰斯 (2026) 继续使用这种不正确的公式.
研究的目的:
- 突出并纠正在法医人类学中使用的错误的概率比率公式.
- 为了解决混乱的语言和非标准的数学符号在斯科特和罗杰斯 (2026年).
- 为了防止这些问题在未来的法医科学文献中重复出现.
主要方法:
- 在法医人类学中对概率比率计算公式的批判性审查.
- 在Scott & Rogers (2026) 和相关文献中使用的数学符号和语言的分析.
- 与法医推断和统计学中的标准实践进行比较.
主要成果:
- 斯科特和罗杰斯 (2026) 采用了一个不正确的公式来计算概率比.
- 错误的公式在法医人类学文献中有历史.
- 该出版物还使用非标准和令人困惑的语言和符号.
结论:
- 准确计算概率比率对于合理的法医推断至关重要.
- 在法医人类学中,需要对数学语言和符号进行标准化.
- 这一批评旨在提高法医科学中的统计应用的严谨性和清晰性.
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