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Updated: Feb 11, 2026

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德克萨斯州累积犯罪风险的队列差异
1Department of Sociology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Demography
|February 10, 2026
概括
刑事法律系统的接触,包括逮捕和定罪,比监禁更为普遍,不成比例地影响少数民族妇女. 这种广泛的分罪犯罪化加剧了不平等.
科学领域:
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 估计监禁的累积风险是了解美国监禁趋势和不平等的关键.
- 数据限制阻碍了刑事法律接触的记录,低于监禁水平.
- 很少有研究评估黑人和白人男性以外的风险,限制了对更广泛的人口影响的理解.
研究的目的:
- 为了估计分罪和重罪的普遍性,刑事法律系统联系 (逮捕,起诉,定罪,监禁).
- 分析这些跨种族/族群 (黑人,白人,西班牙裔) 和性别的风险.
- 通过使用德克萨斯州的行政数据,研究五个出生队伍 (1971-1995) 的趋势.
主要方法:
- 利用了德克萨斯州超过25年的行政犯罪记录数据.
- 对各种刑事法律事件的计算累积风险.
- 分析了1971年至1995年的五个出生队伍的数据,包括黑人,白人和西班牙裔男性和女性.
主要成果:
- 亚罪联络 (被逮捕等) 是比重罪定罪和监禁的3-18倍更为普遍.
- 副罪犯罪化在人口中比重罪事件更广泛分布.
- 虽然一些人的重罪风险下降了,但次重罪犯罪率仍然很高,而且越来越不平等,特别影响黑人女性 (例如,22%的黑人女性在24岁之前被捕,而囚禁率低于3%).
结论:
- 副罪行犯罪化代表了刑事法律制度的普遍和不平等的方面.
- 亚族群接触的高患病率和不平等分布对理解21世纪的不平等有重大影响.
- 调查结果强调需要解决更广泛的刑事司法系统参与,而不仅仅是监禁,以打击不平等.
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