种子玉米 (Diptera:Anthomyiidae) 的阶段过渡模型的模型构建和现场验证
Han Ni Aye1, Hyeon Suk Jo1, Dong-Soon Kim1,2
1Majors in Plant Resource Sciences & Environment, College of Applied Life Sciences (SARI), Jeju National University, Jeju, Republic of Korea.
Environmental entomology
|February 10, 2026
概括
这项研究通过估计热参数,为种子玉米 (SCM) 开发了阶段过渡模型. 这些模型准确地预测了SCM的发展,有助于未来对这一农业害虫的种群表象学研究.
科学领域:
- 昆虫学 昆虫学是一门学科.
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 虫害管理 虫害管理 虫害管理
背景情况:
- 种子玉米 (SCM), *Delia platura*,是一个全球重要的害虫,影响各种作物,如黄瓜,大和洋.
- 准确预测SCM生命周期对于有效的害虫管理策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为了估计SCM的基本热参数.
- 开发阶段过渡 (ST) 模型,包括线性和非线性发展模型 (DM) 和分布模型 (DSM).
主要方法:
- 利用以前发布的SCM未成熟阶段的数据集来估计DM参数.
- 使用标准偏差和平均发展时间估计的DSM参数.
- 通过将最合适的非线性发展方程与DSM集成,开发了ST模型.
主要成果:
- 估计的线性模型参数:蛋 (LT 4.1°C, 33.6 DD),幼虫 (LT 6.6°C, 160.0 DD), (LT 5.2°C, 217.8 DD). 图片来源: 图片来源:
- 在封闭的现场环境中验证了ST模型,显示出良好的性能,累计成年人出现的差异为0.5至3.2天.
- 这些模型成功地模拟了SCM生命阶段之间过渡的个体比例.
结论:
- 开发的ST模型用于SCM蛋,幼虫和,为预测害虫现象学提供了强大的框架.
- 这些模型是增强针对种子玉米虫的综合害虫管理计划的宝贵工具.
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