占有状态和百分比之间的相互作用效应:在男性足球运动中,在占有状态之间对比赛运行性能进行建模的见解
Pengyu Pan1, Carlos Lago-Peñas2, Miguel Lorenzo-Martinez2
1Institute of Exercise Training and Sports Informatics, German Sport University Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
Biology of sport
|February 11, 2026
概括
足球比赛运行性能 (MRP) 是复杂的. 这项研究发现,占有率显著影响总距离和高强度跑步,根据占有状态和球员位置而异.
科学领域:
- 运动科学 运动科学 运动科学
- 生物力学 生物力学
- 足球表现分析 足球表现分析
背景情况:
- 足球比赛运行性能 (MRP) 是动态的,并受到比赛背景的影响.
- 了解占有状态 (PS) 和占有率 (PP) 之间的相互作用对于分析MRP至关重要.
- 传统分析可能过于简化了足球表现的多变量性质.
研究的目的:
- 为了研究占有状态 (PS) 和占有率 (PP) 在比赛运行表现 (MRP) 之间的相互作用.
- 在不同的PS和PP条件下量化MRP指标 (总距离,高强度跑距离).
- 确定影响职业足球中这些关系的上下文变量.
主要方法:
- 分析了来自西班牙拉利加 (2018-2019) 412名场外男球员的8468个观察结果.
- 统计建模包括占有状态,占有率,有效比赛时间,比赛地点,对手质量和比赛结果作为固定效应.
- 玩家和团队被列入随机效应,以解释个人和团队的变化.
主要成果:
- 占有率与占有状态相互作用,在占有 (IP) 期间对总距离和高强度运行产生负面影响,但在占有 (OP) 期间产生积极影响.
- 在占有期间的比赛运行表现超过了占有时的占有率,在总距离下低于36%,在高强度运行时低于36.4%.
- 对于比赛运行表现的转换所需的占有百分比门因球员位置 (例如,前与中后卫) 而有很大差异.
结论:
- 占有状态和占有率对足球比赛运行表现有复杂的互动影响.
- 多变量分析方法对于全面了解足球表现指标至关重要.
- 研究结果强调了在评估玩家运行需求时需要考虑位置差异和上下文因素的必要性.
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